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Red84
553027.4
432726.0
24010.4
Blue111
283432.5
283260.1
607819.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59131010015020084111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
61Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
84Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#16
27.41.1
25.026.1
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
blue by 32.8
60.10.5
56.856.3
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
Second
4327
#22
26.01.1
25.026.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
blue by 6.5
2834
#32
32.50.5
32.331.8
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Third
240
#35
10.41.1
9.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 9.2
6078
#23
19.60.5
18.317.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned