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Red146
283260.1
786520.1
262025.9
Blue166
3364.5
924581.2
664214.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94179050150200250146166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
33Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +14
21Coral scored#17
77Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#8
12Processor points18
8Net points32
20Algae points50
97Total teleop111
Reef
7L4#11
9L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
146Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.13.4
56.359.7
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
blue by 21.1
81.20.6
80.180.8
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
Second
2620
#36
25.93.4
22.926.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
blue by 38.6
33
#8
64.50.6
63.063.7
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
Third
7865
#14
20.13.4
16.219.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 5.9
6642
#27
14.20.6
13.213.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned