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Red102
81521.8
765630.3
91065.8
Blue124
54833.6
148134.1
608140.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134112050100150200102124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
59Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
102Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
65.81.2
65.564.4
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 25.3
6081
#15
40.51.3
37.939.3
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Second
7656
#33
30.31.2
31.230.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
blue by 3.9
1481
#18
34.11.3
33.234.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Third
815
#31
21.81.2
23.021.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 11.8
548
#20
33.61.3
33.134.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned