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Red168
24543.3
353851.0
376752.5
Blue114
94559.4
125030.4
828048.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16976050100150200250168114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+54Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave6
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points3
47Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
24Coral scored#16
85Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
105Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#8
13L3#3
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
168Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#10
52.51.1
48.749.8
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 4.0
8280
#12
48.51.5
45.847.3
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
Second
3538
#19
51.01.1
48.449.6
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
red by 20.6
1250
#21
30.41.5
27.328.7
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
Third
245
#13
43.31.1
42.643.7
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
red by 33.9
9455
#37
9.41.5
7.99.4
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned