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Red163
283260.1
924581.2
765630.3
Blue92
608140.5
262025.9
828048.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19711505010015025030016392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave6
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
53Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
86Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
163Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.2
80.880.6
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
red by 32.7
8280
#12
48.50.5
47.346.8
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
Second
60.10.2
59.759.5
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
red by 19.7
6081
#15
40.50.5
39.338.8
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Third
7656
#33
30.30.2
30.029.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 4.4
2620
#36
25.90.5
26.325.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2