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Red159
6765.2
432726.0
3364.5
Blue189
376752.5
721138.4
931249.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17815150100200250159189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points47
37Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +17
14Coral scored#23
50Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
18Processor points12
28Net points20
46Algae points32
96Total teleop113
Reef
8L4#12
5L3#9
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
159Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
65.20.1
65.365.2
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
red by 12.7
3767
#10
52.50.9
52.453.3
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
33
#8
64.50.1
64.664.5
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
red by 15.0
9312
#26
49.50.9
49.350.2
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
Third
4327
#22
26.00.1
26.126.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
blue by 12.3
7211
#24
38.40.9
38.239.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8