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Red175
376752.5
721138.4
931249.5
Blue175
353851.0
283432.5
91065.8
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14816050100200250175175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
9Coral scored#6
43Coral points31
43Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +20
22Coral scored#24
80Coral points88
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
104Total teleop124
Reef
12L4#16
7L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totallevel
12Foul points0
175Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#10
52.50.5
51.852.4
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
blue by 13.3
910
#5
65.80.6
65.265.8
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
9312
#26
49.50.5
48.849.3
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
blue by 1.5
3538
#19
51.00.6
50.451.0
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
Third
7211
#24
38.40.5
37.738.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
red by 5.9
2834
#32
32.50.6
31.932.5
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9