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Red184
283260.1
924581.2
765630.3
Blue173
6765.2
432726.0
3364.5
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188172100150200250184173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
36Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +12
24Coral scored#25
88Coral points90
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
132Total teleop120
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#12
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
184Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.2
80.881.0
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
red by 16.0
67
#2
65.20.3
65.165.3
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
Second
60.10.2
59.759.9
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
blue by 4.4
33
#8
64.50.3
64.464.6
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
Third
7656
#33
30.30.2
29.930.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 4.2
4327
#22
26.00.3
25.926.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8