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Red168
376752.5
931249.5
721138.4
Blue141
608140.5
125030.4
828048.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15412350100200250168141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#24
67Coral points86
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
105Total teleop108
Reef
10L4#13
8L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
168Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#10
52.50.7
51.151.8
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 4.0
8280
#12
48.50.5
48.048.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
Second
9312
#26
49.50.7
48.148.8
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
red by 9.0
6081
#15
40.50.5
40.040.5
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Third
7211
#24
38.40.7
37.037.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
red by 8.0
1250
#21
30.40.5
29.930.4
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1