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Red177
353851.0
283432.5
91065.8
Blue172
86253.4
661837.6
22650.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15614550100200177172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+25Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave9
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +38
32Coral scored#22
114Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
148Total teleop110
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#7
10L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
177Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
65.80.7
64.465.2
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 12.4
862
#7
53.40.7
52.653.4
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Second
3538
#19
51.00.7
49.750.4
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
red by 0.1
226
#3
50.90.7
50.250.9
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Third
2834
#32
32.50.7
31.231.9
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 5.1
6618
#28
37.60.7
36.937.6
Auto9.1
Teleop25.1
End3.4