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Red185
6765.2
150230.7
3364.5
Blue135
376752.5
786520.1
721138.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184111050150200250185135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
3Leave6
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points12
44Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +20
24Coral scored#23
85Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
121Total teleop101
Reef
12L4#10
11L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
6Foul points0
185Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
65.20.3
64.765.1
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
red by 12.7
3767
#10
52.50.5
50.651.1
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
33
#8
64.50.3
64.064.4
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
red by 26.1
7211
#24
38.40.5
36.537.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Third
1502
#25
30.70.3
30.330.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
red by 10.6
7865
#14
20.10.5
19.620.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9