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Red154
283260.1
924581.2
75984.1
Blue141
353851.0
283432.5
91065.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521580100200300400500154141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
43Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#20
57Coral points72
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
24Processor points6
16Net points12
40Algae points18
97Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
154Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.2
80.680.8
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
red by 15.4
910
#5
65.80.1
64.664.4
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
60.10.2
59.559.7
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
red by 9.1
3538
#19
51.00.1
49.849.7
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
Third
7598
#30
4.10.2
3.94.1
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.3
blue by 28.4
2834
#32
32.50.1
31.331.2
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9