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Red182
6765.2
432726.0
3364.5
Blue133
102348.5
24543.3
664214.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18211350100150200250182133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +40
21Coral scored#15
75Coral points53
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
115Total teleop75
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#3
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
182Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
65.20.4
64.464.7
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
red by 16.7
1023
#11
48.50.4
49.049.4
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
33
#8
64.50.4
63.764.0
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
red by 21.2
245
#13
43.30.4
43.744.1
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
Third
4327
#22
26.00.4
25.525.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
red by 11.8
6642
#27
14.20.4
13.914.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5