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Red151
86253.4
719633.3
22650.9
Blue175
376752.5
931249.5
721138.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143141100120160180151175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points40
44Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +23
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points58
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
6Processor points18
8Net points28
14Algae points46
81Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
151Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#7
53.40.2
52.452.7
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 0.8
3767
#10
52.50.8
49.850.6
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
226
#3
50.90.2
50.050.2
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
red by 1.4
9312
#26
49.50.8
47.348.1
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
Third
7196
#17
33.30.2
33.133.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
blue by 5.0
7211
#24
38.40.8
35.736.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8