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Red157
285137.9
608143.0
663741.9
Blue178
24550.2
362066.9
602924.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127155100200157178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points41
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +24
25Coral scored#22
90Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
122Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#14
11L3#7
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points12
157Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#29
43.00.7
40.641.3
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
blue by 23.9
66.90.4
65.665.9
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
Second
6637
#22
41.90.7
39.540.2
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
blue by 8.3
245
#1
50.20.4
48.849.2
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
Third
2851
#11
37.90.7
35.636.2
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
red by 13.9
6029
#24
24.00.4
22.723.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8