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Red86
922615.5
81542.3
12330.2
Blue76
608143.0
718832.9
125029.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848870801001108676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
65Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
86Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#3
42.30.5
32.432.9
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
blue by 0.7
6081
#29
43.00.3
32.532.1
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
Second
123
#20
30.20.5
20.020.6
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
blue by 2.6
7188
#39
32.90.5
22.021.5
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
9226
#26
15.50.9
22.723.5
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
blue by 13.9
1250
#25
29.40.3
23.523.2
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed