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Red111
24550.2
605715.4
931238.8
Blue101
564132.5
362066.9
945510.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75102050150111101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+6Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
72Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
111Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
50.23.0
30.133.1
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
blue by 16.7
66.90.7
54.855.5
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
Second
38.83.0
24.527.4
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
red by 6.4
5641
#17
32.50.7
23.924.6
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
6057
#18
15.43.0
9.212.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
red by 4.6
9455
#35
10.80.7
9.29.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned