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Red48
663741.9
561913.1
602924.0
Blue71
812415.1
852231.3
24022.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776702003004005004871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#11
12Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
18Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
48Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#22
41.91.3
30.829.5
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
red by 10.6
8522
#31
31.30.8
31.131.9
Auto5.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
Second
6029
#24
24.01.3
20.919.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
red by 1.2
240
#14
22.80.9
16.417.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Third
5619
#33
13.12.1
15.613.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 2.1
8124
#34
15.10.8
12.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed