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Red106
691426.0
366739.7
341447.9
Blue60
28012.7
505025.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8944010015010660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +32
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
77Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points8
106Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.91.1
33.834.9
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
red by 22.3
5050
#13
25.50.2
12.712.5
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Second
39.71.1
27.528.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
red by 26.9
280
#38
12.70.3
20.520.2
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Third
6914
#19
26.01.1
13.214.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5
red by 16.4
9.60.2
9.49.3
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed