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Red95
516645.5
836219.5
262039.0
Blue98
360450.6
965112.7
553122.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107680501502009598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
60Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
95Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.4
35.635.3
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
blue by 5.1
50.61.6
35.537.1
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
Second
2620
#16
39.00.2
38.538.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
red by 16.3
5531
#15
22.61.6
17.619.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Third
8362
#21
19.50.4
15.515.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
red by 6.7
9651
#32
12.71.6
12.514.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed