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Red56
828035.1
152816.6
118944.5
Blue79
504625.9
925127.0
526316.0
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865801001502005679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
18Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
56Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.53.1
36.333.2
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
red by 17.5
9251
#10
27.01.2
16.818.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
Second
8280
#12
35.11.9
25.023.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 9.1
5046
#27
25.91.2
23.424.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
Third
1528
#30
16.63.1
13.910.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 0.7
5263
#23
16.01.2
13.114.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned