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Red50
602924.0
965112.7
Blue127
608143.0
366739.7
663741.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42112010015020050127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+85
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +64
6Coral scored#17
23Coral points61
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
0Processor points18
4Net points12
4Algae points30
27Total teleop91
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points0
50Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6029
#24
24.00.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
blue by 19.0
6081
#29
43.02.0
30.232.2
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
Second
9651
#32
12.70.0
14.114.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 29.2
6637
#22
41.92.0
29.631.6
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
Third
9.60.0
9.89.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End1.7
blue by 30.1
39.72.0
31.333.3
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed