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Red41
561913.1
341447.9
526316.0
Blue17
476816.2
945510.8
71917.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74330501001504117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+22Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
3Coral scored#2
10Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
14Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
41Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.91.6
34.933.3
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
red by 31.7
4768
#28
16.22.4
20.317.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Second
5263
#23
16.01.6
14.212.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 5.2
9455
#35
10.81.4
9.98.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Third
5619
#33
13.12.7
13.410.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 6.0
7191
#36
7.11.4
5.23.8
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed