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Red86
691426.0
828035.1
505025.5
Blue109
118944.5
812415.1
922615.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56870204010012014016086109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
68Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points12
86Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#12
35.11.1
23.124.2
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
blue by 9.4
44.50.9
33.234.1
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
Second
6914
#19
26.01.1
14.315.4
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5
red by 10.5
9226
#26
15.50.9
23.524.4
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Third
5050
#13
25.51.1
12.513.6
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
red by 10.4
8124
#34
15.10.5
12.713.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed