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Red137
925127.0
262039.0
360450.6
Blue57
504625.9
285137.9
152816.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11354010015013757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+58Teleop
+82Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points19
33Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +50
15Coral scored#7
54Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
78Total teleop28
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#12
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points2
137Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.62.5
37.139.6
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
red by 12.7
2851
#11
37.90.5
17.517.0
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
Second
2620
#16
39.02.5
38.340.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
red by 13.0
5046
#27
25.90.5
24.624.1
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
Third
9251
#10
27.02.5
18.020.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
red by 10.3
1528
#30
16.60.8
10.810.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed