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Red100
362066.9
663741.9
965112.7
Blue101
81542.3
516645.5
28012.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111100050150200100101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points36
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
64Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#4
7L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
100Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.1
55.555.5
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
red by 21.4
45.51.4
35.336.7
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
Second
6637
#22
41.90.1
29.529.6
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
blue by 0.4
815
#3
42.30.8
32.933.8
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Third
9651
#32
12.70.1
14.114.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Level
280
#38
12.71.4
20.221.6
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned