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Red119
366739.7
564132.5
24022.8
Blue48
836219.5
608143.0
553122.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827905010015020011948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+69Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points12
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +63
14Coral scored#5
51Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
12Processor points6
32Net points8
44Algae points14
95Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
119Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.72.6
28.631.3
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
blue by 3.3
6081
#29
43.02.0
32.130.2
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
Second
5641
#17
32.52.6
24.627.2
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
red by 9.8
5531
#15
22.62.0
19.217.3
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Third
240
#14
22.82.6
17.319.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
red by 3.4
8362
#21
19.53.3
15.111.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed