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Red33
828035.1
561913.1
71917.1
Blue110
505025.5
362066.9
836219.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3697020608012014016033110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+85
Endgame+87
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +68
1Coral scored#10
4Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#6
0Processor points12
0Net points24
0Algae points36
4Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
12Foul points2
33Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#12
35.11.2
24.223.0
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
blue by 31.8
66.91.8
55.557.3
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
Second
5619
#33
13.12.0
10.78.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 12.4
5050
#13
25.51.8
13.615.4
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Third
7191
#36
7.11.2
3.82.6
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 12.4
8362
#21
19.53.0
11.914.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed