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Red82
24022.8
360450.6
28012.7
Blue94
922615.5
476816.2
24550.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93870501502008294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
69Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
82Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.1
39.639.7
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
red by 0.4
245
#1
50.21.2
33.634.8
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
Second
240
#14
22.80.1
19.920.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
red by 6.6
4768
#28
16.22.0
17.919.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
280
#38
12.70.1
21.621.7
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
blue by 2.8
9226
#26
15.52.0
24.426.4
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed