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Red126
24550.2
360450.6
602924.0
Blue65
965112.7
828035.1
504625.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136505010015020012665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +48
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
89Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
126Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.7
39.741.4
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
red by 15.5
8280
#12
35.10.1
23.022.8
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Second
245
#1
50.21.7
34.836.5
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
red by 24.2
5046
#27
25.90.1
24.724.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
Third
6029
#24
24.01.7
20.422.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
red by 11.3
9651
#32
12.70.1
14.114.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed