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Red58
152816.6
852231.3
28012.7
Blue71
526316.0
12330.2
564132.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70716065755871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
47Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
58Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8522
#31
31.30.5
32.532.0
Auto5.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
blue by 1.2
5641
#17
32.50.3
28.228.5
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Second
1528
#30
16.60.8
11.110.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 13.6
123
#20
30.20.3
23.423.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
Third
280
#38
12.70.8
21.720.9
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
blue by 3.2
5263
#23
16.00.3
14.915.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed