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Red119
366739.7
118944.5
476816.2
Blue127
718832.9
836219.5
81542.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10681204060120140160180119127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
20Coral scored#22
71Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
89Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#5
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
119Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.5
37.938.5
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
red by 2.1
815
#3
42.32.2
34.937.1
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
39.70.3
33.333.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
red by 6.8
7188
#39
32.93.6
23.527.1
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4768
#28
16.20.5
19.920.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 3.3
8362
#21
19.53.6
14.918.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed