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Red168
931238.8
125029.4
362066.9
Blue55
553122.6
945510.8
812415.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1313705010015020016855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+87Teleop
+101Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave0
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#6
68Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
86Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#2
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +113
18Foul points6
168Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.91.7
57.359.0
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
red by 44.3
5531
#15
22.60.5
19.018.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
Second
38.81.7
30.832.5
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
red by 23.7
8124
#34
15.10.5
13.913.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
1250
#25
29.41.7
23.224.9
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
red by 18.5
9455
#35
10.80.5
9.48.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed