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Red36
561913.1
605715.4
965112.7
Blue83
28012.7
828035.1
564132.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4486020601001201403683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#6
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points0
36Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6057
#18
15.41.1
15.114.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
blue by 19.6
8280
#12
35.10.3
22.823.2
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Second
5619
#33
13.11.9
12.110.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 19.4
5641
#17
32.50.3
28.528.8
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
9651
#32
12.71.1
14.012.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Level
280
#38
12.70.6
20.921.5
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed