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Red94
561913.1
12330.2
285137.9
Blue156
360450.6
605715.4
366739.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591125010015094156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+58
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +47
13Coral scored#21
46Coral points75
3Processor algae#6
4Net algae#4
18Processor points36
16Net points16
34Algae points52
80Total teleop127
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
22Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
94Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#11
37.91.7
21.323.0
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
blue by 12.7
50.63.3
42.445.7
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
Second
123
#20
30.21.7
24.726.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
blue by 9.4
39.73.3
35.038.3
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Third
5619
#33
13.12.9
10.313.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 2.4
6057
#18
15.43.3
14.017.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed