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Red23
718832.9
28012.7
965112.7
Blue83
505025.5
931238.8
152816.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67694060801002383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+58
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
10Total teleop47
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#6
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points6
23Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7188
#39
32.94.3
27.122.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 6.0
38.81.1
32.533.5
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
Second
9651
#32
12.72.6
12.810.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 12.8
5050
#13
25.51.1
18.419.4
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Third
280
#38
12.74.3
21.517.2
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
blue by 3.9
1528
#30
16.61.8
10.312.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned