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Red121
608143.0
362066.9
922615.5
Blue137
812415.1
341447.9
262039.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359650150200121137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
80Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
121Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.2
59.059.1
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
red by 19.0
47.93.1
34.437.6
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
Second
6081
#29
43.00.2
33.733.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 4.0
2620
#16
39.03.1
42.645.7
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
Third
9226
#26
15.50.3
26.026.3
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
red by 0.4
8124
#34
15.13.1
13.416.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned