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Red118
691426.0
118944.5
Blue73
836219.5
602924.0
945510.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896520408010012014011873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
16Coral scored#9
56Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
88Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
118Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.53.9
38.542.4
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
red by 20.5
6029
#24
24.00.5
22.122.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
Second
6914
#19
26.02.4
17.519.8
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5
red by 6.5
8362
#21
19.50.8
18.519.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Third
9.62.3
9.211.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End1.7
blue by 1.2
9455
#35
10.80.5
8.99.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned