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Red77
125029.4
526316.0
24022.8
Blue82
71917.1
925127.0
366739.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64673040506080901007782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
56Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
77Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#25
29.40.7
24.925.6
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 10.3
39.71.3
33.635.0
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Second
240
#14
22.80.7
19.720.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
blue by 4.1
9251
#10
27.01.3
21.222.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
Third
5263
#23
16.00.7
15.216.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 8.9
7191
#36
7.11.3
2.03.4
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed