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Red109
516645.5
476816.2
553122.6
Blue123
12330.2
360450.6
504625.9
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89105406080120140109123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
83Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points0
109Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.5
39.239.7
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
blue by 5.1
50.61.0
41.442.4
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
Second
5531
#15
22.60.3
18.518.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 7.6
123
#20
30.21.0
23.724.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
Third
4768
#28
16.20.5
20.421.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 9.8
5046
#27
25.91.0
24.625.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned