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Red45
24022.8
504625.9
836219.5
Blue15
526316.0
922615.5
28012.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7559020401001201404515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
4Coral scored#1
13Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
21Total teleop2
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
8Foul points0
45Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#27
25.91.7
26.024.3
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
red by 10.0
5263
#23
16.02.6
14.311.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Second
240
#14
22.81.7
20.018.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
red by 7.3
9226
#26
15.54.4
23.218.8
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Third
8362
#21
19.52.8
16.513.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
red by 6.7
280
#38
12.74.4
17.212.8
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed