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Red71
360450.6
561913.1
852231.3
Blue103
118944.5
516645.5
925127.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100122608014016071103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
49Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
71Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.3
45.744.4
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
red by 5.1
45.50.2
40.340.1
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
Second
8522
#31
31.31.3
32.030.7
Auto5.4
Teleop23.6
End2.3
blue by 13.2
44.50.2
41.741.5
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
Third
5619
#33
13.12.2
13.110.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 13.9
9251
#10
27.00.1
22.622.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned