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Red130
341447.9
608143.0
828035.1
Blue100
285137.9
663741.9
718832.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11084050100150200130100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
97Total teleop82
Reef
11L4#5
3L3#7
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
130Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.91.5
37.839.3
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
red by 5.9
6637
#22
41.90.7
35.336.0
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
Second
6081
#29
43.01.5
33.735.3
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 5.1
2851
#11
37.90.7
23.023.7
Auto5.3
Teleop30.3
End2.3
Third
8280
#12
35.11.5
24.926.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 2.2
7188
#39
32.91.2
19.720.9
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed