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Red94
931238.8
553122.6
81542.3
Blue76
602924.0
691426.0
71917.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1195301001502009476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+30Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
73Total teleop51
Reef
9L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
94Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#3
42.30.7
38.237.5
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
red by 16.3
6914
#19
26.00.9
21.322.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.6
End3.5
Second
38.80.7
33.833.2
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
red by 14.8
6029
#24
24.00.9
22.723.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
Third
5531
#15
22.60.7
18.918.3
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 15.5
7191
#36
7.10.9
3.24.2
Auto0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned