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Red52
812415.1
516645.5
605715.4
Blue75
366739.7
152816.6
836219.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93782040601201401605275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+29
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points25
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
30Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
52Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.52.4
40.137.7
Auto8.2
Teleop29.7
End7.5
red by 5.8
39.70.2
38.338.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Second
6057
#18
15.41.6
16.915.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.8
End4.6
blue by 4.0
8362
#21
19.50.3
13.714.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.2
Third
8124
#34
15.11.6
18.216.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 1.5
1528
#30
16.60.3
14.514.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed