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Red133
341447.9
505025.5
125029.4
Blue53
28012.7
504625.9
561913.1
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10250015013353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+80Teleop
+78Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +66
21Coral scored#7
76Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
104Total teleop38
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
2Foul points0
133Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.92.6
39.342.0
Auto12.1
Teleop30.7
End5.0
red by 21.9
5046
#27
25.90.0
24.324.3
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
Second
1250
#25
29.42.6
25.428.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
red by 16.3
5619
#33
13.10.0
10.910.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
5050
#13
25.52.6
20.823.4
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End0.8
red by 12.8
280
#38
12.70.0
12.812.8
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed