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Red76
12330.2
602924.0
262039.0
Blue132
362066.9
24022.8
828035.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106113608012014016018076132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+62
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points35
20Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +38
7Coral scored#13
24Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
30Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#5
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points6
76Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#16
39.01.4
45.644.2
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End7.5
blue by 27.9
66.91.4
59.661.0
Auto19.6
Teleop36.2
End11.2
Second
123
#20
30.21.4
27.826.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.6
End1.3
blue by 4.8
8280
#12
35.11.4
26.427.9
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Third
6029
#24
24.01.4
23.622.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
red by 1.2
240
#14
22.81.4
18.319.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned