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Red61
526316.0
945510.8
608143.0
Blue100
922615.5
360450.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6380204010012014061100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+27
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
32Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points12
61Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#29
43.00.4
35.334.8
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End6.1
blue by 7.6
50.60.4
44.444.8
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
Second
5263
#23
16.00.4
11.711.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 0.5
9226
#26
15.50.6
18.819.4
Auto1.9
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Third
9455
#35
10.80.4
8.68.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.7
red by 1.2
9.60.4
7.98.3
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed