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Red113
553122.6
366739.7
24550.2
Blue50
476816.2
152816.6
663741.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120805010015020011350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+55Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points13
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +38
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
63Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
113Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
50.21.1
39.941.0
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
red by 8.3
6637
#22
41.91.2
36.034.7
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End0.8
Second
39.71.1
38.539.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
red by 23.1
1528
#30
16.61.9
14.812.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Third
5531
#15
22.61.1
18.319.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 6.4
4768
#28
16.21.9
17.915.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed