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Red92
24550.2
28012.7
925127.0
Blue50
366739.7
602924.0
812415.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8788506070801001101201309250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+52Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
67Total teleop18
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
92Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
50.21.0
41.342.3
Auto11.6
Teleop33.2
End5.4
red by 10.5
39.71.9
39.437.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End1.5
Second
9251
#10
27.01.0
24.125.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.9
End1.5
red by 3.0
6029
#24
24.01.9
20.518.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End8.8
Third
280
#38
12.71.3
11.913.2
Auto1.3
Teleop10.2
End1.2
blue by 2.4
8124
#34
15.11.9
18.016.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned